Exchanges? We Don’t Need Your Stinking Exchanges

From Deutsche Bank’s annual employer survey:

One of the more noteworthy takeaways from our survey is that compared to last year, fewer employers are considering migrating their employees into the new Exchanges starting in 2014. Specifically, 11% of employers in our survey are actively considering migrating employees into exchanges in 2014, down materially from 35% that said they are considering shifting employees into the Exchanges in 2014. Note that our industry market model currently assumes that around 10% of the employer market will shift into the Exchanges in 2014, so current employer sentiment appears to be exactly in line with our industry forecast.

We think the drop-off in interest in the Exchanges likely reflects the generally disorganized state of affairs around Exchange planning at both the state and federal levels, which has created significant uncertainty around the path to implementation of the Exchanges in 2014.

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