Health Plan PAC Money Makes Public Plan a Long-Shot

Scary statistical analysis (here) from Nate Silver on how health insurance industry money is influencing Senators’ likely support of a public health plan option (Hat tip: Paul Krugman).  Writes Silver:

Health care is one of those areas where both popular opinion and sound public policy seem to take a backseat to protecting those stakeholders who benefit from the status quo. But can we actually see — statistically — the impact of lobbying by the insurance industry on the prospects for health care reform? I believe that the answer is yes….

Max Baucus, who leads all current senators in money accepted from the insurance industry, was also somewhat unlikely to support the public option in the first place, but he almost certainly won’t be an advocate for it given the money he’s received. Taken in this context, one wonders whether Baucus was ever a sincere supporter of the public option, or rather, whether he used the poor CBO score that the Senate Finance Committee’s draft bill received (a draft that did not include a public option!) as an excuse not to have to bother with it.

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